Monday, February 12, 2007

IPCC analysis proves statistical insignificance

The IPCC recently have said that there is a 90% probability that global warming is caused by man. How they ever got that number, I don't have the faintest.

So I guess based on a 95% statistical test, we have to therefore accept the null hypothesis and conclude that the probability that global warming is man made is not statistically significant (p > 0.05).

Hence, thanks to the IPCC's report, we shouldn't worry about reducing CO2 levels because their own analysis is insignificant.

Phew, what a relief!


Count Iblis said...

Your doctor says that your recent blood test shows that with 90% certainty you have cancer. So, no need to worry, because it is insignificant at the 95% confidence level?

Jonathan Lowe said...

welcome back count, i gather you didn't get the humour and sarcasm in this post?

Anonymous said...

lol @ count. So you would go under kemo if a doctor said you had 90% chance of having cancer? It would effectively kill you if you didn't. Personally I'd get more research and do more in depth research to see if I had cancer or not.

However i agree we should spend trillions of dollars and ruin the economy on proof that is statistically insignificant.