Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Long Term weather predictions are off

In late May the BOM predicted that Western Australia and Northern Australia will have warmer than normal winters. They also predicted that no place in Australia will have colder than normal winters.

Well it's not a good start for them with "Exceptional cold and rain in the tropics in June"

and also:

A series of cloud bands, which brought widespread rainfall, also kept daytime temperatures well below average with record low maximum temperatures reported across much of the state.

Strike 1 with the first month of winter, but of course they can predict for sure what will happen 100 years from now.

6 comments:

Chris M said...

Sigh.... if only 'global warming' wasn't such a daft hoax perpetrated for suckers by suckers. I would really enjoy it being a bit warmer all year round, especially in winter. BOM has bombed again I see.....

philip said...

June 2007 was certainly much colder than the long term average. See the link below and select max temp anomaly. Someone commented (without a link) at Climate Audit that it was the coldest June since national temperature records started.

I'm expecting a BOM press release highlighting this unusual and unprecedented climate cooling.

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/silo/temp_maps.cgi

Jonathan Lowe said...

To their credit, the BOM did report this in their media releases. The links are given to these by the links on the post. It just depends if the media pick it up or not

Bishop Hill said...

The UK Met Office has been in similar difficulties.

philip said...

Jonathan, the BOM press release gives the clear impression the cold weather was restricted to the tropics. In fact, the whole of Australia was below to well below long term averages, except for the west coast and a couple of hundred K's inland.

What is unusual is how much of Oz was affected by the cold.

Jonathan Lowe said...

very good point philip, I shall post that as well.